Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Fri Jun 18, 2021 4:33 pm by TRex2
rick1 wrote:
The U.S. dollar continues to fall, prices continue to raise:
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4427274-us-dollar-continues-to-fall-in-value
That article isn't aging well. (But, then, neither am I ) It was written 5 weeks ago, when the Pound had just risen from $1.39 to $1.41 and today the Pound is worth $1.39 again. Somewhere in between it was $1.37.
Yes, the dollar is worth less. And so is almost every other currency in the world.
I am projecting 50% inflation, over the next 18 months, but right now, I am having self doubts.
Gasoline (retail) is 40 cents below where I thought it would be today. Wholesale is 20 cents below were I thought it would be. Someone once said: never bet against American Ingenuity.
I am still projecting 50% inflation in the next 18 months, but I am not sure of my projection.
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Fri Jun 18, 2021 4:41 pm by rick1
TRex, you're not sure of your projections, well, where the heck does it leave the rest of us? [/quote]
(snip)
Yes, the dollar is worth less. And so is almost every other currency in the world.
I am projecting 50% inflation, over the next 18 months, but right now, I am having self doubts.
Gasoline (retail) is 40 cents below where I thought it would be today. Wholesale is 20 cents below were I thought it would be. Someone once said: never bet against American Ingenuity.
I am still projecting 50% inflation in the next 18 months, but I am not sure of my projection.
TRex, you're not sure of your projections, well, where the heck does it leave the rest of us? [/quote]
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Thu Jul 01, 2021 10:12 am by rick1
A good article on inflation concerns:
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/stocks/news/markets-have-a-thing-or-two-to-tell-the-fed-about-inflation/articleshow/83769630.cms
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Fri Jul 02, 2021 9:20 am by Blondie
Inflation concerns? I'm thinking this is more like a hair on fire financial crisis. We are fast outpacing Jimmy Carter's 16-18% inflation rate.
Time to begin a thread on all things inflation/hyperinflation ?
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Fri Jul 02, 2021 11:40 am by ReadyMom
Blondie wrote:
Inflation concerns? I'm thinking this is more like a hair on fire financial crisis. We are fast outpacing Jimmy Carter's 16-18% inflation rate.
Time to begin a thread on all things inflation/hyperinflation ?
Fine with me!
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Sat Jul 03, 2021 2:51 pm by TRex2
rick1 wrote:
A good article on inflation concerns:
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/stocks/news/markets-have-a-thing-or-two-to-tell-the-fed-about-inflation/articleshow/83769630.cms
This is pretty much two paragraphs of everything that is wrong:He added that the price data was confusing. “We have to be very humble about our ability to really try to draw a signal out of it,” he said. “It might take some patience to really see what’s happening.”
The shift to a generally flattening yield curve and lower long-term inflation expectations may keep the Fed from actually carrying out the tapering its $120 billion in monthly bond purchases in the near term, let alone raising rates as soon as late next year or early 2023.
"The price data was confusing"
- Ummm, isn't it your job to understand it?
"We have to be very humble about our ability"
- when has the fed ever been humble?
"shift to a generally flattening yield curve"
- this is always a sign that the economic engine is slowing down,
"its $120 billion in monthly bond purchases"
- this is literally money the fed is pumping int our government to keep it solvent
"lower long-term inflation expectations may keep the Fed from actually carrying out the tapering"
- translation, if we can't cause inflation, we will need to keep pumping money into the government to keep it solvent, because they are spending about $1.44 Trillion more than they can afford, and it looks like we either devalue the money dramatically or risk the government going into default.
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Sat Jul 03, 2021 3:04 pm by TRex2
While I am expecting to see inflation in the 30% range, I am not seeing it yet.Blondie wrote:
Inflation concerns? I'm thinking this is more like a hair on fire financial crisis. We are fast outpacing Jimmy Carter's 16-18% inflation rate.
Time to begin a thread on all things inflation/hyperinflation ?
Shadow Stats is showing about 13%. Do you have any other source?
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Tue Jul 06, 2021 9:15 am by dmwalsh568
It's hard to tease out what's real price increases versus temporary jumps because of COVID constraints on the supply chain. Some of those constraints will last for years - like chips for cars and other tech items, but some will shake out in a few months (assuming no other shocks to the system.)
Basically I expect real inflation to continue to be high for the next 6 to 9 months, then expect it to settle down. Unless there are more disruptions than normal (from Covid-D or later, or multiple Cat 5 hurricanes at once, some black swan event, etc.)
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Tue Jul 06, 2021 9:46 am by rick1
Just my personal opinion, I think inflation is here to stay through next year and possibly into 2023.
Foods prices, energy prices, fuel prices and lets not forget the lazy people that don't want to go to work because of extended unemployment benefits.
Nope, inflation is here for awhile, just plant a bigger garden, raise some cattle and chickens, cut a bunch of wood for heat this winter, ride your bike when you can, and get some solar panels to help run your home.
Oh, forgot to add this, I have all the above, so let inflation roar.
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Sat Sep 04, 2021 3:58 pm by rick1
Inflation expected to raise dramatically, say Fed. Res. Powell. You should have raised a bigger garden and put some of those groundhogs in the freezer:
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/federal-reserve-inflation-wages-interest-policy-changes/
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Sun Sep 05, 2021 7:02 am by TRex2
rick1 wrote:
Inflation expected to raise dramatically, say Fed. Res. Powell. You should have raised a bigger garden and put some of those groundhogs in the freezer:
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/federal-reserve-inflation-wages-interest-policy-changes/
Just so that no one thinks this is all brand new, the following was clipped from the link above:Federal Reserve says inflation should rise dramatically
BY STEPHEN GANDEL
UPDATED ON: AUGUST 27, 2020 / 5:49 PM / MONEYWATCH
Some people might think this is brand new, since, after they decided all of that, they announced that any little inflation pressure we might feel will be "transitory" and won't amount to much.
Hogwash.
They know there will be inflation, and they lie about it.
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Sun Sep 05, 2021 7:55 am by rick1
Yep TRex, I did post the wrong link, had too many coals in the fire. Here's the one I wanted:
https://www.lakeexpo.com/news/business/opinion-inflation-is-here-and-it-s-only-getting-worse-heres-how-it-affects-the/article_233e9dd6-f560-11eb-85af-87d7b5e17284.html
And you're right, they LIE and since August 2020 to August 2021, inflation has gotten worse and it's going to continue to get worse.
Here's a inflation rate chart, beginning January 2017 to July 2021, look at the increase since biden has taken office, will get a lot worse if that 3.4 trillion dollar package passes, jimmy carter 2.0:
https://www.rateinflation.com/inflation-rate/usa-inflation-rate/
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Sun Sep 05, 2021 10:13 am by TRex2
Shadowstats shows a lot worse picture.
http://www.shadowstats.com/alternate_data/inflation-charts
(Top line on the very bottom graph) about 13%.
My worst case forecast, made a few months ago, was 50% price increases from June 2021 thru Dec 2022.
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Sun Sep 05, 2021 4:20 pm by rick1
TRex2 wrote:
Shadowstats shows a lot worse picture.
http://www.shadowstats.com/alternate_data/inflation-charts
(Top line on the very bottom graph) about 13%.
My worst case forecast, made a few months ago, was 50% price increases from June 2021 thru Dec 2022.
50% TRex, I sure hope your wrong, hate to see jimmy carter 2.0, it was right around 15% with him, but CD rates were as high as 18%.
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 2:49 pm by rick1
Inflation rising, the dollar worth less and if that's not enough, utility prices are going to spike, just in time for winter heating season:
https://www.foxbusiness.com/markets/americans-brace-for-utility-bill-sticker-shock
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2021 2:49 pm by rick1
Inflation rising, the dollar worth less and if that's not enough, utility prices are going to spike, just in time for winter heating season:
https://www.foxbusiness.com/markets/americans-brace-for-utility-bill-sticker-shock
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Sun Sep 19, 2021 7:55 am by TRex2
rick1 wrote:
TRex2 wrote:Shadowstats shows a lot worse picture.
http://www.shadowstats.com/alternate_data/inflation-charts
(Top line on the very bottom graph) about 13%.
My worst case forecast, made a few months ago, was 50% price increases from June 2021 thru Dec 2022.
50% TRex, I sure hope your wrong, hate to see jimmy carter 2.0, it was right around 15% with him, but CD rates were as high as 18%.
Some good news, and some bad. That 50% forecast was based on Biden getting his (formerly $3500Billion vote buying bill passed, along with the tax hikes that are built into it, and getting his $15 an hour minimum wage bill passed. Those haven't happened, so, while the water is still behind the dam (potential is still there) the dam hasn't burst. Not Yet.
I do expect prices to be higher next fall, but probably only by about 20% over what we have today.by rick1 Fri Sep 17th:
Inflation rising, the dollar worth less and if that's not enough, utility prices are going to spike, just in time for winter heating season:
The Left always, always, always engages in narrow, shallow, thinking and shortsightedness.
But we have to be on guard not to do the same, or we will fall into the same trap, from time to time.
Fox Business falls into that trap pretty often. The article compares the year's, and next year's expected prices with last years. Last year was an outlier, due to the pandemic. We should always go back to 2019 (no later than Jan 2020) to make our comparisons.
In this case, if you look back, on the graph they supplied, you will see the price is the same as we had in 2018, so the current price isn't unprecedented. Same with gasoline.
Now, energy prices are sure to go up, but we have to measure them in comparison to the prepandemic prices. As with everything else, we should expect about 20% rise, or about 75 cents a gallon rise in gasoline. The same with electricity.
Also, the article plays a little bit of the "we vs them" BS of the marxists, with "Those billions will be made on the backs of hardworking Americans who will see more of their money evaporate in the gas tank and with their winter heating bills."
We must always be on our guard to not let the marxists put stuff into our heads. If the gas company makes a billion dollars and declares a dividend on their stock, that is money for the stock holders. We may object to who owns the company (frankly, it should be the middle class citizens, living in the state where the gas is sold, but that is a different problem), but we shouldn't object to the company making a profit.
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Sun Oct 03, 2021 3:24 pm by rick1
I guess since the dollar is dropping like a hot potato and inflation is rising, dollar tree is now increasing it's prices above the dollar value.
Seems people don't like that idea at all.
Not all stores are getting to raise their prices yet, will be done over time.
I was at a dollar tree store down here at camp yesterday and asked the cashier what they were going to call the store now, I said a buck and a quarter store. From the office a lady shouted out, no, a dollar plus store.
https://wjon.com/dollar-tree-announces-price-increases-at-select-stores/
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Mon Oct 04, 2021 12:33 pm by TRex2
rick1 wrote:
I guess since the dollar is dropping like a hot potato and inflation is rising, dollar tree is now increasing it's prices above the dollar value.
Seems people don't like that idea at all.
I am sure a lot of people in the Biden camp will not like it, because it will shine a light on the inflation they don't want us to think about.Not all stores are getting to raise their prices yet, will be done over time.
I was at a dollar tree store down here at camp yesterday and asked the cashier what they were going to call the store now, I said a buck and a quarter store. From the office a lady shouted out, no, a dollar plus store.
https://wjon.com/dollar-tree-announces-price-increases-at-select-stores/
"DollarPlus"
Of course they will want to put a good spin on things, since they still need to attract customers.
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Sun Oct 10, 2021 8:57 am by rick1
Here ya go, heat your house with oil, save up 'cause you'll be spending a lot more:
https://www.foxbusiness.com/markets/oil-prices-200-barrel-possible-stocks-jpmorgan
Like donuts, better learn how to make your own, unless you're independently wealthy:
https://www.foxbusiness.com/lifestyle/lamars-donuts-price-increase
Oh how corn pop is turning this country upside down and all planed by his handlers.
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Mon Oct 11, 2021 5:44 pm by rick1
Dig deeper into your wallet/purses to pay for gas.
Oil hit over $80.00/barrel today and is expected to go higher. Gas here at home is now $3.45/gal for regular.
Home heating oil is over $3.00/gallon.
Glad I heat with mostly wood and coal, I do have a oil hot water furnace, but rarely use it.
Thanks to the head clown , the socialist agenda, the squad and their new green deal, you'll be paying for the next 3+ years.
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Mon Oct 11, 2021 5:49 pm by Dave58
rick1 wrote:
Dig deeper into your wallet/purses to pay for gas.
Oil hit over $80.00/barrel today and is expected to go higher. Gas here at home is now $3.45/gal for regular.
Home heating oil is over $3.00/gallon.
Glad I heat with mostly wood and coal, I do have a oil hot water furnace, but rarely use it.
Thanks to the head clown , the socialist agenda, the squad and their new green deal, you'll be paying for the next 3+ years.
Once they figure out we will pay their price the cost will never go back down
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Mon Oct 11, 2021 6:05 pm by rick1
Dave, this was/is all a plan from the clowns in D.C. (demonrats) to push their agenda, they want control of our everyday lives.
From free speech by parents protesting against school teachings to mandatory vaccines. I hate to say it, this is exactly how Hitler started in the 1930's before WW-2.
Not to make it political, but where were the demonrats when black lives matter/antifi were rioting and burning down buildings. They weren't around because they supported it, including congress people and even the vice president elect.
There was a lady on the NBC early morning news this morning, she said loud and clear, a civil war is coming and coming soon and the politicians will be first in line.
The sad part about her statement is that I really think it's going to happen.
OK, I'm out of my 10 cents. I'm at camp, time to pop a top.
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Tue Oct 12, 2021 8:34 am by TRex2
The alternative, on our present course, is worse.Not to make it political, but where were the demonrats when black lives matter/antifi were rioting and burning down buildings. They weren't around because they supported it, including congress people and even the vice president elect.
Supported it, and even financed it.There was a lady on the NBC early morning news this morning, she said loud and clear, a civil war is coming and coming soon and the politicians will be first in line.
The sad part about her statement is that I really think it's going to happen.
I would not EVER watch NBC morning news (not to be confused with local news), but I agree with her.
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Tue Oct 12, 2021 4:36 pm by rick1
Ya know, I've been talking about gas prices soaring and heating oil prices way up, but I forgot to list natural gas.
If you heat with natural gas, well it's up 95% from it's 52 week low. Money, money, money.
https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/commodities/ng%3anmx
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Wed Oct 13, 2021 4:46 am by rick1
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/under-biden-brace-for-huge-costs-to-heat-your-home
The news says it's going to cost you 20% to 30% more to heat your house this winter, but the Washington Examiner say it's going to cost you as much as 300% more.
Thanks to the head in the dark house, the only good thing about this, is the demonrats are going to have to pay too
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/under-biden-brace-for-huge-costs-to-heat-your-home
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Wed Oct 13, 2021 8:33 pm by rick1
Seems like the federal reserve is getting a little worried about the current inflation.
Here's a good read that just came out:
https://www.newsmax.com/finance/streettalk/cpi-inflation-federal-reserve/2021/10/13/id/1040379/?ns_mail_uid=ed113837-94a1-4b8d-8fab-a7f206fd5031&ns_mail_job=DM262205_10132021&s=acs&dkt_nbr=0105047j7z90
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Sat Oct 16, 2021 1:22 pm by rick1
Socialist Bernie Sanders is slamming old country boy Joe Manchin over the trillions more in spending the demonrats want to spend.
But the old West Virginia country boy put the communist Sanders in his place. If this bill passes, you will see inflation that would make the 70's/2007 and 2008 look like a girl scout cook out.
Clown Sanders doesn't understand that the more money you print, the less the dollar is worth, the more you pay for items until it all busts into flames and then you have a recession:
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/manchin-dismissively-calls-sanders-a-self-declared-independent-socialist
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Sat Oct 16, 2021 4:48 pm by TRex2
Senator Manchin is right, but I think, in the long run, the Socialists will have their way.
Well, that is what we need to prep for, anyway ...
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Sun Oct 17, 2021 10:15 am by rick1
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Mon Oct 18, 2021 12:03 am by Blondie
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Sun Oct 24, 2021 2:29 pm by rick1
Yellen says inflation to last into 2nd half of next year.
I say it goes a year beyond that, with this new green, human infrastructure bill the clowns want to pass, they'll have to print another couple of trillion dollars to cover it.
https://www.foxbusiness.com/economy/yellen-says-americans-havent-experienced-current-inflation-rate-in-a-long-time
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Mon Oct 25, 2021 11:39 am by rick1
According to Barrons, inflation will be getting a lot worse. Hold on to your hats boys and girls, it's going to be a long, hard ride:
https://www.barrons.com/articles/inflation-federal-reserve-supply-chain-shortages-51634682794
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Tue Oct 26, 2021 1:18 pm by rick1
Our the feds losing control of inflation?
I never thought I would agree with a demonrate, but this guy is correct:
https://www.foxbusiness.com/economy/federal-reserve-inflation-control-larry-summers
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Tue Oct 26, 2021 4:15 pm by Blondie
First time I've almost agreed with Jack Dorsey that hyperinflation isn't comimg, it's here. Congress will pass some sort of stimulus bill to make you more broke.
Not only have they lost control of the Fed, they, both sides, have lost control of literally everything. Even here, crime including homicides are spiking. Seasoned cops are walking out ove mandates and Fire and EMS are right behind them heading out the door.
I finally figured out the Klaus Schwab "You Will Own Nothing.." narrative. Hyperinflation will get so bad that you will empty your bank accounts to feed your family. You'll no longer be able to pay your mortgage or property taxes and you will have to liquidate all personal property.
Inflation once meant Price Controls. We won't entertain that again. Wall Street will lose their lunch over it.
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Tue Oct 26, 2021 5:05 pm by rick1
OH Blondie, you're so optimistic.
We aren't in hyperinflation YET. Once the 50 clowns in the D.C. senate pass this 3.5 trillion dollar bill, hyperinflation will begin, in a big way.
The more money that's printed the more inflation takes over and we've already printed way too much money. Printing a few trillion dollars more will give you the hyperinflation and a stock market correction of about 30%to 40%.
Then you'll even see the demonrats with tears in their eyes
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Tue Oct 26, 2021 7:39 pm by TRex2
I hate to see it called "Hyperinflation" because it doesn't and won't really fit the actual definition. Yes, there is an actual definition. (The definition is is something like 50% each month.)
But, while this won't meet that criteria, it may become the worst inflation we have seen since the Carter Presidency. Back then, we had more than 10% per year, and we are either approaching that or past it.
I suspect we will see something on the order of 30%, over the next 12 months, so I am beginning to plan for everything to be about 30% higher in price in a year.
Like most people, I am not equipped to plow though this unscathed. Most of us, though can take steps to blunt the effect, and that is what I plan to do, and recommend to others.
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Thu Oct 28, 2021 1:52 pm by rick1
Is the U.S. heading towards the Carter, 1970's, stagflation, some economists are worried about that:
https://www.thebalance.com/is-us-economy-headed-for-70s-style-stagflation-5205478
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Thu Oct 28, 2021 5:56 pm by rick1
The plans to fundamentally alter our economy and financial systems:
https://www.foxbusiness.com/politics/biden-alter-us-economy-justin-haskin
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Fri Oct 29, 2021 11:05 am by TRex2
rick1 wrote:
Is the U.S. heading towards the Carter, 1970's, stagflation, some economists are worried about that:
https://www.thebalance.com/is-us-economy-headed-for-70s-style-stagflation-5205478
I have been expecting something like this for about a year, and I have been looking for a way to deal with is. No silver bullet that I can see. Just "prep on."
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Sat Nov 06, 2021 12:49 pm by rick1
When it comes to this country and foreign affairs, the entire administration knows little to nothing about how to run it.
And when it comes to finances, they know even less. Get out your pocket books, 'cause you'll be paying even more for everything:
https://thefederalist.com/2021/11/04/in-discussing-massive-infrastructure-bill-pete-buttigieg-shows-off-how-little-he-knows/
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Mon Nov 08, 2021 10:54 am by rick1
With inflation rising as the days go by, paying illegals $450,000 each for kids separation, and the list goes on.
Now crow bait biden wants to shut down another pipe line in the U.S.. If you heat with natural gas, oil, electricity, you're going to pay big, I mean big bucks Just read the following link:
https://www.newsmax.com/newsfront/energy-home-heating-inflation-heating/2021/11/08/id/1043706/?ns_mail_uid=ed113837-94a1-4b8d-8fab-a7f206fd5031&ns_mail_job=DM274047_11082021&s=acs&dkt_nbr=010502dqt9tl
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Wed Nov 10, 2021 2:21 pm by rick1
Another month (October) that's giving us more expensive items and that's everything, thanks to the head in D.C.
https://www.newsmax.com/finance/streettalk/consumer-prices/2021/11/10/id/1044067/?ns_mail_uid=ed113837-94a1-4b8d-8fab-a7f206fd5031&ns_mail_job=DM272682_11102021&s=acs&dkt_nbr=010102tib74k
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Sun Nov 14, 2021 8:27 am by rick1
Stuart Varney, Fox Business, his take on inflation and it don't sound good. We're heading back in time to the 1970's.
I remember well, CD rates were as high as 12% plus, morgage rates were as high as 12%/14%, gas prices were outrageous, you could only get gas every other day based on your license plate number, only ten gallons at a time, gas, propane, heating oil, etc. were all in shortage. And we're heading in that direction:
https://www.foxbusiness.com/economy/varney-todays-inflation-means-trouble-is-coming
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Sun Nov 14, 2021 2:07 pm by TRex2
rick1 wrote:
...
Now crow bait biden wants to shut down another pipe line in the U.S.. If you heat with natural gas, oil, electricity, you're going to pay big, I mean big bucks ...l
Right now, this is just noise.
Reminds me of what someone said:
If they are making a lot of commotion with one hand, be sure to watch the other, since, chances are, that is what they don't want you to see.
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Mon Nov 22, 2021 8:31 am by rick1
I DID THAT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
https://www.conservative-politics.com/trump/joe-biden-i-did-that-protest-exploding-nationwide/
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Fri Dec 03, 2021 11:23 am by rick1
Steve Forbes warns of food rationing and price controls as corn pops economy is in total collapse and we are the ones that will be paying the price:
https://www.investmentwatchblog.com/steve-forbes-warns-of-food-rationing-and-price-controls-as-bidens-economy-is-in-total-collapse/
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Fri Dec 03, 2021 4:11 pm by TRex2
rick1 wrote:
Steve Forbes warns of food rationing and price controls as corn pops economy is in total collapse and we are the ones that will be paying the price:
https://www.investmentwatchblog.com/steve-forbes-warns-of-food-rationing-and-price-controls-as-bidens-economy-is-in-total-collapse/
Don't know if there is a better place for this, but, in addition to the above, and on a longer term, the current push for "renewable" fuels (I saw one on "renewable jet fuel") will eventually put the transportation needs of the rich in direct competition (rather than indirect competition, as it stands today) with our food supplies.
This is a source issue, rather than a supply chain issue, so maybe it should have its own thread. I just don't know where that should go, right now.
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Sat Dec 04, 2021 7:21 am by Drinkthekoolaid
TRex2 wrote:rick1 wrote:
Steve Forbes warns of food rationing and price controls as corn pops economy is in total collapse and we are the ones that will be paying the price:
https://www.investmentwatchblog.com/steve-forbes-warns-of-food-rationing-and-price-controls-as-bidens-economy-is-in-total-collapse/
Don't know if there is a better place for this, but, in addition to the above, and on a longer term, the current push for "renewable" fuels (I saw one on "renewable jet fuel") will eventually put the transportation needs of the rich in direct competition (rather than indirect competition, as it stands today) with our food supplies.
This is a source issue, rather than a supply chain issue, so maybe it should have its own thread. I just don't know where that should go, right now.
Wait for the year sometime in the near future where we have multiple industries like energy and food each competing for a resource like corn being dependent upon it as a renewable energy and food, and we have some sort of widespread weather disaster or some sort of biblical level pest infestation that decimates a vast amount of a years crop. Imagine the chaos it will cause if 30% of corn vanishes while ethanol production is slashed and available food plummets.
The bigger the lush to reduce fossil fuels and rely on something like bio ethanol for transportation the more likely the below scenario.
All it will take is some widespread drought, flooding, late freeze, or derecheos.
These derecheos in Iowa last year we're devastating if you didn't hear of it.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/August_2020_Midwest_derecho
The more we put all our eggs in one basket the more likely it will be a single point of failure
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Sat Dec 04, 2021 2:05 pm by TRex2
Drinkthekoolaid wrote:TRex2 wrote:
...
This is a source issue, rather than a supply chain issue, so maybe it should have its own thread. I just don't know where that should go, right now.
Wait for the year sometime in the near future where we have multiple industries like energy and food each competing for a resource like corn being dependent upon it as a renewable energy and food, and ....
...
The more we put all our eggs in one basket the more likely it will be a single point of failure
The competition between transportation (and other leisures of the rich) and food for the masses is already headed for a collision, because they are indirectly competing. Jet fuel, motor vehicle fuel and fuel for electric generation compete with fertilizer and fuel to run farm equipment.
Sooner or later, this will come to a head, as it did in 2008.
I think we will see a repeat of this article:
https://www.globalissues.org/article/758/global-food-crisis-2008http://www.foodfirst.org/en/node/2120
The World Bank reports that global food prices rose 83% over the last three years and the FAO cites a 45% increase in their world food price index during just the past nine months. The Economist’s comparable index stands at its highest point since it was originally formulated in 1845. As of March 2008, average world wheat prices were 130% above their level a year earlier, soy prices were 87% higher, rice had climbed 74%, and maize was up 31%.
-- Institute for Food and Development Policy, May 16, 2008
Placing the food and fuel in more direct competition will result in the collision happening sooner and more suddenly.Revelation 6:5-6 (NASB)
When He broke the third seal, I heard the third living creature saying, “Come!” I looked, and behold, a black horse, and the one who sat on it had a pair of scales in his hand. And I heard something like a voice in the center of the four living creatures saying, “A quart of wheat for a denarius, and three quarts of barley for a denarius; and do not damage the oil and the wine.”
This speaks of a time in our future when it will take a days pay (denarius) to buy enough food to feed one person for a day (quart of wheat). There are many theories about the interpretation of the last line, but most fundamentalists believe that says the rich people will still have their luxuries.
This prophesy, like many prophesies, has become regionally true from time to time during famines of the past, but at some future point it will be true for everyone, everywhere.
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Sun Dec 05, 2021 8:58 am by Drinkthekoolaid
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Sun Dec 05, 2021 9:54 am by rick1
In the next couple of weeks/months, you can add a couple of more T's to that from the head clowns human infrastructure bill.
People need to think about just why they want to double the IRS's staff, I'll tell you why, they plan on taking/freezing your money, right out of the bank, if they think, just think, that your involved in money laundring, drug activity or owe the government taxes. Now, they can do that now, but they only do it to the ones they know are involved with those activities.
Right now, if you are caught with over $10,000 in your possession, law enforcement can take it, you then go through h_ll to try and get it back and that may take years plus attorney's fees. That $10,000.00 will be lowered to only several hundred dollars.
What I'm trying to say is, they're going to take your money and help pay for the demonrat, socialist bill's they have passed.
Dependent on the government from craddle to grave.
I'm done now, I gave more then my 2 cents, but only if your were willing to listen.
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Mon Dec 06, 2021 7:55 am by dmwalsh568
rick1 wrote:
In the next couple of weeks/months, you can add a couple of more T's to that from the head clowns clown human infrastructure bill.
People need to think about just why they want to double the IRS's staff, I'll tell you why, they plan on taking/freezing your money, right out of the bank, if they think, just think, that your involved in money laundring, drug activity or owe the government taxes. Now, they can do that now, but they only do it to the ones they know are involved with those activities.
Right now, if you are caught with over $10,000 in your possession, law enforcement can take it, you then go through h_ll to try and get it back and that may take years plus attorney's fees. That $10,000.00 will be lowered to only several hundred dollars.
What I'm trying to say is, they're going to take your money and help pay for the demonrat, socialist bill's they have passed.
Dependent on the government from craddle to grave.
I'm done now, I gave more then my 2 cents, but only if your were willing to listen.
Civil asset forfeiture has been around for a LONG time check out the Wikipedia article on it:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Civil_forfeiture_in_the_United_States
I especially like/hate this snippet:Although there are accessible statistics of seizures at the federal level, it often happens that the totals of forfeitures from both criminals and innocent owners are combined; for example, one report was that in 2010, government seized $2.5 billion in assets from criminals and innocent owners by forfeiture methods,[16] and the totals of assets seized incorrectly from innocent owners was not separated statistically. Further, since the United States is a federal republic with governments at both the national and state level, there are civil forfeiture seizures at the state level, which are not tracked and recorded in any central database,[12] which make it difficult to make assessments, since state laws and procedures vary widely. According to The Washington Post, federal asset forfeiture in 2014 accounted for over $5 billion going into Justice and Treasury Department coffers, while in comparison, official statistics show that the amount stolen from citizens by burglars during that same year was a mere $3.5 billion.[33]
So the government/police stole more from people than burglars....
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Mon Dec 06, 2021 8:26 am by TRex2
Civil asset forfeiture has been around for a LONG time, yes, and it has been abused more since the 90's, yes.
But everyone is dirty in this game.
The article in Wikipedia is somewhat misleading, but then, so are the stats published, on the subject. Also, the references (the ones referred to in the little brackets) are from 9 and 13 years ago, so things may have changed since then.
One thing that has changed, since then, is the size of the numbers. Burglaries and Drug money movements are many times higher. I know the drug trade passed the 150 Billion a year mark, a while back. (The article from 2008 said 12 Billion.)
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Fri Dec 10, 2021 11:18 am by rick1
November inflation, ahhh, you just got to love that corn pop , inflation now at 6.8%, highest since 1982. A couple more months, we'll be back in the Carter years (1970's).
Last week Fed Chair Powell said inflation will go beyond 2022.
https://www.newsmax.com/finance/streettalk/inflation-cpi/2021/12/10/id/1048122/?ns_mail_uid=ed113837-94a1-4b8d-8fab-a7f206fd5031&ns_mail_job=DM283022_12102021&s=acs&dkt_nbr=010502kuhvp5
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Tue Dec 14, 2021 2:00 pm by rick1
While consumer inflation jumped to 6.8% for November, wholesale inflation jumped to 9.6%. Wholesale inflation is inflation that wholesalers get nailed on before the consumer gets it's product. Look out, things are going to get out of control.
https://www.newsmax.com/finance/streettalk/us-producer-prices/2021/12/14/id/1048572/
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Posted: Wed Dec 15, 2021 6:25 pm by rick1
Fed chair Powell expects to raise interest rates by .25%, three time each year for the next 3 years. At least CD rates will go up. I expect the stock market will take a little dive until they get use to the rate hikes.
I expect IRA accounts to take a hit for the first couple of interest rate hikes too. And if you got a variable mortgage rate, you'll be paying more.
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/fed-accelerates-taper-of-bond-purchases-eyes-three-interest-rate-hikes-in-2022-11639595645
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Re: Financial Crisis-2021 Posts-Archive
Thu Dec 16, 2021 12:33 pm by TRex2
Well, as I said, if Biden gets his Build Better Butternuts plan passed, price will rise by around 30% next year, but the multiple interest rate hikes could (depending on how they handle Quantitative Easing related issues) drive us straight into recession, so that we wind up with both problems.
Echo's of the Carter era, anyone?
What is more, in the 70's we had a solid manufacturing base, and wouldn't be destroyed if trade between us and a dozen other countries stopped. Now we don't. Now we import everything from plastics to pharmaceuticals, and from ascorbic acid to Zinni glasses from Asia, and a lot of our textiles from South Asia.
And there are other aggravating factors, as well. (street drugs and illegal aliens from the Mexican border, BLM and Antifa from our Universities, Soros funded DA's, etc)
America is going to find it has written checks in cannot cash.
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